RE: During May...13 May 2026 13:33
At 40,000t throughput and 1.65% copper and 70% recovery, could get 400t per month plus another 100 minimum fine copper. 500 per month gives 6,000t copper included for a year.
Molefe supply to be added at Sable, then 8,000 to 10,000 could be on the cards. With copper at current rates, sp should be worth 7 or 8p.
Allowing for rainy season and general underperformance then 4,000 to 5,000 may be the bottom end of expectations. Worth 3 or 4p I would think.
2 factors holding the share price down - doubts about the finances and more importantly in the immediate term is the ongoing selling. 4 or 5 big holders have reduced their holding year on year from April 2025 to April 2026.
Potential is there, it's a waiting game. Still at about 35% of my holding that I sold at 4.07p, continued weakness in the sp is proving tempting.
Catalysts for a rise.: seller(s) stop(s), de-watering proven to work, throughput at Roan increases, Molefe delivers more to Sable, Sable announcement on expansion completion/positive update, LWP, drilling news.
Reasons to fall further: financial mess up, share issuance, increased rate of or protracted period of selling by large holders.
2p is a 25% fall approx and 3.4p is a 25% rise. Where will the sp be in 3 months, 6 months etc.
Tempted to raise my holding to 50% of what I hade before but waiting for the charts to turn positive first, is there any rush????