SP 6.6p @ 13 Sept 2217 Oct 2022 12:43
Perhaps a possible explanation for the 30 per cent drop in SP, using the following timeline:
7 Sept - announcement of investor presentation set for 14 Sept - SP 4.8p
13 Sept - SP peaks @ 6.6p (in anticipation of the next day's presentation)
14 Sept - SP closes @ 5.35p
Today's SP @ 4.35p
I am a big investor here (never sold a share!)! So for personal reassurance, I have occasionally revisited the company presentation of 14 September to remind me as to what our Board has told us.
Firstly, I applaud all of the research on this BB - absolutely brilliant (thank you all, especially to Thordon) and yes, we have a fantastic opportunity to 'clean up' with our unique proprietary product range.
As JS continuously reassures us, record levels of revenues with new customers and new revenue streams being achieved through product performance. Then we have the additional (free) benefit of decarbonisation, as a highly-charged political by-product.
But whilst revenues are key here for future growth, surely the end game is all about profitability and how soon we can convert those future profits into hard cash, thereby eliminating the need for future cash calls. Warren Buffett says: Higher revenues for no profit make us busy fools!
So on the topic of profitability, please revisit the presentation (around 32 minutes in?)
JS 'slips in' a casual reference to breakeven being some 18 months to 24 months away (but possibly, sooner).
In other words, putting it another way, it suggests that we have a further 18 months to 24 months of additional losses.
Yet inexplicably, what the presentation failed to mention was how the 2022 (H1) losses of $940k were funded?
In essence, they were funded by a combination of extended credit from suppliers ($622k) and an equity fund raise in Apr 2022 ($380k).
So, going back to the anticipated losses projected by JS for the next 24 months - how are these losses going to be paid for and why did JS consider this point not important enough to mention?
Could this be a contributing factor to the market's negative conclusion to the presentation (financially speaking).
Perhaps this is partially the reason why we find the SP back to square one!
GLA