Inside information24 Feb 2021 12:40
I suspect the reason why funds are buying in is not because they know something we don't, what we know ha probably just been explained to them in much more detail.
We have been told that lending will restart and that a scheme will be creating for customer complaint payouts - if we were able to have an hours of the CEO's time, I suspect he would elaborate on both of these, he might say - The FCA are completely in agreement its the best outcome, he might say we are absolutely going to keep to the timetable on starting relending. And because this is already news we know about, its not deemed as inside information.
I've had a number of these chats over the last few years, you can say things like "I can discuss the scheme because its in the public domain that we are putting a scheme together". So I suspect the CEO has been marketing to II's knowing that this is the best way to push the Share price up. Thus the buys we are seeing. We all know Amigo has an amazing brand, is a market leader in a scetor which is going to boom because of the pandemic, and has almost gone into liquidation because CMC's found a way of justifying ways customer can successfully claim which is why the share price 10p not £2.
All the management team need to do is get over the claims hurdle, and restart lending and the SP will fly. Then there are global ambitions, entering other sectors of the loans market etc. If the conversation with the II's start with, "we are extremely confident the scheme will be sanctioned and that lending will recommence (say March 1st) and here's why" and if the narrative is convincing without giving away any inside information, a complete gamble of an investment becomes a relatively safe one with huge upside.
There could be other theories, a takeover, JB or someone else getting II's to buy on there behalf in order to launch a takeover...
For a PI this is looking really attractive, and I like many other JB's persuaded to invest are perhaps in profit today for the first time in many months.
GLA