RE: Home Run17 Mar 2025 21:11
Osg...I didn't for one minute realise you'd need advice from me, but since you're being polite I will explain below my thoughts.
Firstly, JEMA have no investments in UK but shed loads in Russia which have been blocked by Russian authorities since 2022. For the purpose of valuation (currently 56p per share), these investments have been written down by 99% by the fund manager. Further, these investments are earning divis which are also blocked in a bank account in Russia.
If sanctions are lifted by Russian authorities, these investments become live again resulting in NAV to jump to just under £7.
As you well know, Trump and Putin are getting on like house on fire, and there is every indication that Trump will remove sanctions on Russia soon and Putin will reciprocate, resulting in in significant rise in JEMA. IMO it could double within a very short time.
With FXPO, we are dealing with Zelensky who has a vendetta against Zhevago and will try his upmost to get his assets. For reasons I have already mentioned ie. judgement of just nationalising Zhevago's share of assets, IMO this does not stack up legally. Hence only way to get Zhevago is by nationalising the whole company. I have not read this any where, but applying a bit of common sense.
State can nationalise assets on grounds of national interest, and the Mineral Deal touted with US may be used by Zelensky to get at Zhevago.
IMO FXPO (in which I have substantial holding) have potentially much bigger upside than JEMA, but this comes with a risk which IMO is now absent in JEMA.