RE: 40p still the target26 Mar 2025 08:55
Clearly, most urgent and immediate issue to be resolved is that of withholding of VAT refunds by the authorities. IMO scaling down production and laying off personnel to preserve cash is not the solution, although the company may be forced to resort to that as a very last resort measure.
Laying off 8,000 or so personnel at the outset to preserve cash to ensure survival will only play into the hands of the authorities who would use excuse of national interest (preservation of jobs) to 'expropriate' FXPO assets. I am certain the company is paddling like hell to get the 'decision' overturned.
Beyond this, I cannot see the authorities stepping back from their pursuit to get the money (approx $115m) which it thinks is owed by Zhevago. IMO the company may well be negotiating an end to all claims as we speak cos the stakes are now very high if situation is not resolved soon.
Also, I get the feel the authorities are hell bent to ensure its Zhevago who suffers the loss by openly naming him as the reasons for their actions. So if the company eventually ends up settling the whole matter, the onus will then pass to Zhevago to reimburse the company from his own pocket.
A general election would resolve problem overnight but that won't be happening for another few months at the very least.