US close, nos etc..23 May 2024 06:56
Stocks retreated from record highs as rate worries weigh on investors minds. Indexes had been flat throughout the day but following the release of the Fed minutes stocks turned down.
Discouragingly the minutes showed Fed Officials are minded to hold rates for longer saying "it would likely take longer than previously thought" to get rates fully under control and some were willing to raise rates.
The talk of mrkts yesterday to the exclusion of all else was Nvidia's shattering of Wall's forecasts. Profits and revenues skyrocketed 628% and 268% for their most for profitable Q ever, largely driven by Ai and insatiable demand for it's chips, networking hardware and software.
The company also proposed a 10 for 1 stock split (effective June 7) which would trim the sp to c.$105 making it more affordable for holders and employees to buy while maintaining their value.
The stock is up 2,500% in just 5 years, c.20,000% in 10 years and 231,485% since debuting at •41USD in Jan 1999. To put that into context in 2019 Nvidia was valued at $100bn and would be ranked at no 158, today its the 3rd largest global company valued at over $2•35 trillion.
Only Apple and Msoft are worth more. Assuming Nvidia achieves eps targets and continues to trade at 79x the shares are projected to hit $1800 in a years time. Should the multiple fall to 50x the sp would still be $1150.
Nyse data
Issues 2894
Advances 799
Declines 2005
U/c 90
NH 117
NL 47
T/vol(bn) 3•8
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DJ -202 (39,671)
SP -14 (5307)
NS -9 (18,705)
R2 -9 (1327)
WTI $77
10ytb 4•431%
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MSCI(W) -14 (3466)
Gold Bugs -11 (278)
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Latest :- Vix 12. Brent $82.
Gold $2366. Copper $4•814.
Palm $980. Silver $30•725.
$1•273. €1•175.
FF +4. DF +60.
Morning all.