You paint a depressing picture nobull, unfortunately your right and had not cpo prices recovered to these $1000 imo unsustainable levels the Banks would have called in the loans and left us pleading our case down Carey St way. With B40 stalled and the backstop leg of B50-100 looking fanciful any down turn in 2022 would make servicing the debt which is basically why we are still operating ever more problematical.
A wholesale restructuring won't do us the 'ords' any favours and a 'salvation merger' would leave REA holders with the short end. Of course thats nothing new to long-termers of REA but might be preferable to any of the other painful remedies mapped out by nobull.
Somehow the Co staggers on propped up by the Banks. Since 2014 never turning a coin. You have to wonder how much longer this can continue and what to do? A huge RI or Placing to rid us of the Prefs, notes and bank debt? Who would support that when the industry is under constant demands for more money from the Govt? Catch 22, its more like Catch 100!
I've tracked my opportunity cost (gain/loss) to date, had I sold up here at end of last year (58). I bght a dummy stock Oil stock and ytd am up 29% which reinforces how stupid I am to have held on here purely on thinking the usual stupid pis belief of if I sell its bound to rocket up....funny how one never thinks its bound to tank!
Oh well, things cannot get much worse can they? Assuming my o...lie flattens i need REA to reach 75. Looks a stretch but you never know when of course you do know, its a No No.
Now cpo has crossed the $1101 line we move up into a higher tax and duty band (Levy $255/Duty $144/Total take $399) up $28. Dkl Feb production update was positive but has no bearing here priced in euros and Ivory Coast demographics different to Indonesia in so far as they do not have to satiate a rapacious Govt gorging itself on the hard work of plantation companies.
Or should that be because of.....!!! I've been lumbered in frustrating shares from time to time but REA really takes the biscuit! As we know the share price is representative of nothing its purely a number conjoured up by the barrow boys to keep their books level. I have said enough on this subject to fill a book. The management are obviously not much bothered so why should we?
Mpe announce F/Y results on 23/3 so we will get an indication as to how REA might have performed last year given the better H2 Cpo prices averaging c. ($812).
Mpe announced their 2019 results on the 31/3 shares opened at 456 and closed at 506 on the session. On the week ended at 530 a 60 gain. If past history is anything to go by.....