RE: Take over11 May 2022 23:28
Hi jazzer.
The starting point for any valuation is the expected CPR on the new 2c reserves for anchois which I estimate at 1000 bcf and a high chance of success for anchois north 600 bcf and anchois west at 200bcf.
Based on 1000 bcf and $8 mcf I previously calculated anchois field had a value of £1.38 per share, plus a value for the satellite gas prospects and the rest of the lixus licence prospects of a further 3tcf ,
The directors are obliged to recommend a take over if it’s at fair value. So my guesstimate is a takeover would be successful at prices from £1.50 to £2.50
Starting point is the cpr.
Jimmy