RE: Coiled spring6 Jul 2016 15:12
Chart has a lot of potential, but we have to factor in the bearish market right now - although the weak pound really does help STGR. Value of BSM shares held is higher and the share price seems cheap internationally on a weak pound.
Assuming the news is:
- A decent follow-on business for STGR
- A well-capitalised expansion plan for BSM
Meaning tranche 2 will be a given and tranche 3 realistically achievable, from the BSM deal, plus a decent second business on STGR to keep things ticking over whilst value from the Bass deal is cashed in...
I still see mid 2s to low 3s on news, building as the news is digested. We should see 5p again so long as this deal now looks good this time around, because STGR will be holding an awfully large percentage of BSM and there appears to be much more appetite on ASX than here on AIM for this mine.
Tranche 3 will rightly be seen as a risk, but I'm still believing 5p realistic if the follow-on business is good, because there will be growth there too.
Not hiding the downsides here: STGR has taken one hell of a beating, might take a while for the black mood to lift. BOD appointed last year took a knock over the original Bass deal falling through. Also even after announcements, assuming announcements are good, there is the STGR shareholder vote to navigate.
So I'm confident, still. But there are risks, still. Above all I still remain confident in the replacement BOD to get this share motoring. They've had the cards stacked against them, ****ed up once or twice, but also been royally ****ed themselves too, mainly by the legacy they inherited... IMO...
So - sound like it's nearly time to buckle up...