RE: jimbob14 Jun 2016 20:18
I think I said I expect news in the next few weeks, I'm expecting it before end of June because I would imagine the BOD want to put some certainty out along with the interims.
Contacts reliable enough for me to hold on to my largish punt here but yes, nothing is certain till the RNS comes out. I heard a new business venture in a related space that would allow them to keep their listing, and that the deal comes along with a finance partner.
Thing to realise IMO is that STGR will end up owning a significant chunk of BSM, that our final tier payment comes when production reaches 5/9ths capacity (10k tpa - measured over 3 months pro-rata) but full capacity will be 18k tpa.
If one attempts to (roughly) model how value is added to mining shares I'm hoping the anticipatory rise on BSM will have waned by the time we reach our threshold, we'll get a reasonable price for Tranche 3, before the corresponding results come out pricing BSM for the increase in profits. It will of course all be down to timing.
I won't pull any punches, this is still risky - but against that risk is the very high likelihood (IMO) this was shorted down from 5p when it was clear spring 2015 this would need significant capital, massively shorted from 3.25p when the ill-timed share restructuring announced (yes I know this from very reliable info and no I didn't and never have shorted this, these kind of bets aren't available to PIs) so there's a very high chance IMO we'll see DCB.
Whether the cat is dead if/when (IMO) it bounces will be down to two things IMO:
1. Do Bass have a viable funding plan to reach Tranche 3
2. Do Stratmin have a viable plan to maintain ordinary listing with a new business asset
I'm betting on yes to both of these but that is my personal choice based on my own research so huge DYOR disclaimer