RE: Pi expectations ......12 Sep 2018 01:33
Jay,
I am no 'Oil Expert' but have learned a few things on the way.
Re: 'My take is that the market hasn’t reacted all that well because the company stated max flow rates of 400/470 on 3rd Aug, then all the talk of ‘bigger pump’ (though that’s just here, not UKOG themselves) and yet when push comes to shove its only 140-160 until ‘future’ (as yet unspecified) optimisations and then it’s only an ‘initial’ 362 that is ‘forecast’…'
The thing is the 03rd Aug RNS was a specific 'Short term high rate test', and only a short term high flow rate test.
ie, 'Portland short-term high rate tests achieve stable implied equivalent daily pumped rates of 401 and 414 barrels of oil per day ("bopd") of dry 36 API oil over two periods of 6 and 2 hours, respectively. '
I wish understood more about testing wells, but is clear that they undertake many tests, with various choke settings, gathering data on pressure build ups and drops, replenishing rates, etc.
I liken it to say adding a valve to a bottle of champagne before you uncork it, see how much comes out and for how long starting with a small choke, and measure, open the choke some more and measure, etc.
Then shut the valve, shake the bottle, and start again, what volume this time? what is the depletion rate, etc.
It's a rather complicated exercise to arrive at n 'Optimised rate of flow' I would have thought.
And that is the exercise that we are going through.