RE: General Economic Indicators20 Sep 2018 03:35
I have been reading a few articles as of late, and from what I can discern, (and I’m no expert) Central Banks are beginning to reverse prior policies of Quantitative Easing to one of Quantitative Tightening, ie no longer printing oodles of money in order to boost the economy.
Apparently Global debt in 2017 stood at 217% of Global GDP, that is a worrying statistic.
Further, it isn’t banks so much these days that are at risk of failure as they have built up capital ring fencing/reserves.
Big banks now have to hold, 3-5 times more capital than prior to the 2008 crash.
It is companies, and governments, that have now built up so much debt, as I understand it.
This coupled with the fact that interest rates are surely but very slowly starting to rise, is a concern for companies that have large debt capital on their books. The key to all of this from what I can discern, is interest rates.
Keep your eye on companies with too much debt on their balance sheet, and what is happening to interest rates over the pond.
Overall though, I do think there is an air of pessimism in the press that is self perpetuating and most particularly because of the little known greater public perception of debt/ situation, plus a growing tariff trade war by you know who is unnerving to say the least.
Maybe, buy some shares in a good dividend paying gold company like CMCL?