ERM25 Sep 2012 23:20
Business publisher and exhibitions firm Euromoney Institutional Investor said trading has been in line with expectations since its last update in late July.
As flagged in July, market conditions became noticeably tougher from June, particularly in Europe. As a result, revenues for the fourth quarter are expected to be broadly in line with the same period last year, with growth in subscriptions offset by weakness in advertising and delegate revenues.
Total revenues for the year to September 30, 2012 are expected to show a headline increase of around 9% on 2011. The underlying increase, excluding acquisitions, is expected to be 3%.
Adjusted profit before tax is expected to be a record amount of at least £105m, up from £92.7m the year before, with the profit line benefitting from a reduction in net finance costs as the company's debt plunges, as well as a lower long-term incentive expense.
At current exchange rates, group net debt at September 30th, 2012 is expected to be no more than £40m, against £88.5m at March 31st, reflecting the group's strong second half operating cash flows. Movements in the US dollar exchange rate have not had a significant effect on net debt levels, the group revealed.
Peel Hunt said the net debt level was lower than it had expected and might open the door to acquisitions "to engineer growth that the economic climate is failing to deliver."
The broker has left its price target unchanged at 780p and is making no change to its earnings forecasts.