Instability11 Nov 2025 14:52
Fighting and instability is a given both historically and now in Mali, usually North and Central. Since Sept 25 in retaliation for Junta restricting fuel sales JNIM announced a fuel blockade. So approx 300 - 600 of the 2000 Jihadists in Mali are estimated to have moved to attack fuel tankers on roads entering Mali. These routes are long, remote, easy to ambush and difficult to protect.
So fuel is arriving by armed convoy but not easily and Allies have agreed to increase supplies to assist with new routes. Russia 160,000 -200,000 tonnes pm of petroleum products. A reach out to US ( Landau comments). Niger and Ivorian supplies apparently increased.
Schools closed to manage supplies, now reopen and bus routes running reduced schedules, public asked to reduce journeys.
Shipping companies have reopened routes and US has been sharing intelligence on regional security.
Mali won't stabilise, the whole Sahel is consistently unstable. Mali is a balance of the army move in and Jihadist leave, army leave and Jihadists move back.
Army tend to control population centres and Jihadists remoter regions when the army isn't around. In between there are also local militia.
For now it's about the Junta resolving the fuel blockade, with the Jihadists not having the sheer numbers to actually takeover government. They may have to negotiate a settlement through local regional intermediaries within Mali, as Junta won't want to look weak.
This has been going on since Sept and only recently been getting publicity, most news is a few days old and out of date.
Cora is right down South of Bamako in as safe an area as can be. Also re MCAP Cora has Senegal as well.
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