RE: Net debt / Loan Book / Cash13 Jul 2020 21:29
These are the figures i made up to give an idea on how much it could be.. take with a huge bucket of salt as they are complete guess work, but im intrigued by it
figures from results for periods in question.
Results for second half last year (full year minus results, minus half year results)
1st Oct to 31 March 2019
Revenue 140.60
Adjusted profit after tax 52.90
Profit after tax 50.90
EPS (Basic, adjusted) 11.20
Basic EPS 10.80
1 April to 31 Dec 2019 (9 Months ended 31 December 2019 )
Revenue 218
Adjusted profit after tax 44.7
Profit after tax 45.9
EPS (Basic, adjusted) 9.4
Basic EPS 9.7
Add in the results for the last 3 months to March 2020, since then its been lending very little and ill guess the figure at £40m revenue.
So the FCA issue covers (140.6 + 218m + say ~£40m for last unreported period) <£400m revenue.
their headline rates is 49.9%, example is £1,000 borrowed will total £1,750 repaid over 3 years.
On that basis we have £228m of the loan book in question.
atleast half will be fine but lets take a huge assumption of half the loans in question being iffy.
so we are at £114m of loans with interest over 3 years bringing in revenue of a total £200m = it costing ~£85m + 8% interest is the worst possible outcome.