RE: Derampers and poor marketing11 Apr 2024 11:12
Maps;
Cash flow breakeven is a forecast - hasn't happened yet. However, I believe they originally stated the first half of FY2025, but I think in the investor meet Q&A's PM has gone more broad by stating "during FY2025" so it has already been pushed back, not surprising since over the last few months they didn't get costs down to what they needed to on a monthly basis.
Aviation deal happened 3 years, yes 3 full years after PM used the word imminent. I bet if Family Fortunes asked 100 people what the definition of imminent was, none would say 3 years. Whilst we are on Aviation though, where is that 330 plane and 30+ simulators contract PM mentioned nearly 2 years ago to a group of Italian II's?
Magna deal - is that the one where PM stated nearly 2 years ago that 3-4 auto RFQ's were for the mirror location - now if that was true where are they? Should I mention PM's comments here about Qualcomm? "contracts of significant value and in addition to what they are already working on" - something along those lines wasn't it?
Gen3 being sold - is that the Gen3 that was launched late and also the one where according to PM we had a RFQ for over 100,000 units and we were the only ones on that RFQ? Where is it? And come to think of it "being sold"? you mean those pitiful contracts mentioned at launch in January? we are 3 months on and nothing. They had at least 12 months building up to this in which time surely they would have had customers trialing prototypes etc... - what is the salesteam doing! I hope their salary isn't mainly commission based otherwise they aren't going to be earning a lot.
3m cars on the road by the end of this calender year? You had better hope that there are no more surprises to PM in relation to the qtrly KPI's - to be fair I'm not aware of PM actually predicting a number of cars on the road so he can't fail on that. I just hope Colin didn't mean that SEE has lost the Ford-150 and Mach-E to SEYE otherwise the VW increase will probably just balance out the loss from Ford so there will be surprises all around with minimal growth over the next KPI's
So what else has he said;
Oh yes his market cap prediction by the end of 2024 - yes he has not failed on that yet, but given the market cap is significantly less than it was when he made his prediction I don't think it is going to more than ten fold in the next 8 months - and yes Lewbo "adding a 0 onto the end of the market cap" usually means a 10 fold increase rather than going from 255m to 260m. That kind of increase in market cap either means the SP has gone up significantly or the number of shares in issue has. Perhaps that's what he means, perhaps he was trying to highlight to us that they will need to do another share issue to increase the number of shares whilst hoping the SP wouldn’t drop as part of that share issue?
A couple of RNS's and the SP will rise? - what like it has done for all the RNS's over the last 2-3 years including the Magna VW de