RE: That short position.9 Jan 2025 16:37
My opinion, and of course we all have them, and often they are different is that:
1) When the short positions first built up (18 months - 2 years ago) there was a lot of hype around the stock, high price, high volumes and it offered great opportunity for profit on the downside. ( betting on it going down aka shorting )
2) Fast forward to 2025 and daily volumes are much lower and the stock price is pretty much equal to cash completely ignoring inventory / sales / IP etc etc.
So we are now in a position where there are 18 million shares which need to be bought back, no question, no discussion they need to be bought. The risk now is with the shorter, whereas 18 months ago the risk was with the investor, knowing that there were such large bets on the table that the share price would drop, and in effect 18 million more shares in circulation it became a self fulfilling prophecy (of course poor sales performance / fossil fuel investment / negative green investment etc also contributed ) . Many of the investors who could be swayed, discouraged, scared have pulled out which has left all of the investors at £4 ( last institutional offering about 2.5 years ago) and long term holders who see the value in this company for the long term. These investors will not let their shares go easily, and this is what the shorters need to do to acquire 18m shares, convince the market that their shares are not worth 35p, or 40p, or even 80p.
Sadly for this particular hedge fund the others have pulled out ( bought and returned the shares ) leaving them holding these 18m shares. As has been said by others they should have taken their profits earlier, because on paper they are sitting on big profits but they cannot realise them at a rate without causing the share price to rise very quickly. For example shares are naturally trading at the moment at around 1-1.5m per day, if they wanted to buy back just 5% of their short then they would be buying a large portion of what is being traded daily, and they would have to do this every day for 20 trading days. Imagine what that would do to the stock price over those 20 days?
I am no expert in this field, but they must be hoping for some major bad news, to give a huge reason for a sell off and allow them to pick up large volume back in the 30's, if this doesn't come I think that the shorters know their paper profit is going to dwindle fast.
I am a long term holder and have added to my position all the way down, all this nonsense has allowed me to pick up these shares at favourable price levels and I am not selling to them.
Again my opinion, not fact.