RE: Its in the pipeline.....11 Sep 2024 14:56
Always been undervalued due to TL often speaking with forked tongue and doubt that other options will get green light (a permit denied all others for Darwin/FLNG previously) with a perception of all oil and gas roads lead to onshore TL.
Clearly, recent moves, indicate a softening of that position, now very much in their interests to fully support Sunda's FPSO planning, for both revenues and the Domestic supply plan.
Until they make it clear though, ideally with a big fat YES you can to Sunda, the majority of the Industry waits for Sunrise agreement, before committing millions into new exploration (Sunrise mothballed 2004 majors had spent over $400m only to be told NO twice , Darwin and FLNG so the exodus happened)
Also why the 2 1/2 year bid round was a complete flake, only 9 bids on 7 of 18 licenses, for perspective during that same period Nigeria offered 57 licenses and had over 1,600 bids. If you read the blurb on those, the Nigerian (part returns of area's ) looked far less attractive than what was on offer in the underexplored Timor Leste area of the Timor Sea...
Sunrise resolved is huge and would reopen the floodgates into TL's waters, they know what they left behind, with much more to find in TL's underexplored waters.
To me, an early YES statement by H&G, supporting Sunda's after drilling production plans, would have a similar effect on the fence sitting players that surround us.
Shell , Conoco Phillips , Exxon Mobil , Nexen , BHP , Inpex and more had holding and operations, with nowhere to go.
Sunrise sorted or evidence Chuditch will be permitted an alternate plan (unlike the past) WILL bring them back, to much to ignore, Sunrise 5tcf valued at $60+ billion over production life, Chuditch $40 billion (Shell original owner said Chuditch 5tcf with upside, probably bigger than Sunrise on full license dev, Sunda 3.5 tcf only played with part)
Not to mention Kelp (Mobil 1998 discovery drill) they placed 10.5-14.5 TCF on it and left it behind, bigger if true, than both Sunrise and Chuditch put together, plus any new discoveries (which will happen Area R and P at least)
One little spark , is all it will take for Sunda , to MULTI MEGA BAG..............glalth's