RE: Market Cap26 Apr 2023 10:54
Look at this valuation from the last CNR presentation which will obviously be endorsed by the Investment Bank conducting the sale:
“ Valuation 14April2023
Market Capitalisation at 30p = £54M or US$67M
Valuation of an oz gold in the ground. Takes no account of permits, FS, land, upside, mill 2.5M oz gold for La India Project + Rio Luna concession and silver credits US$27 per oz gold in the ground or 1.3% of today’s gold price $2,030 oz gold
Post tax NPV: Best indication is 150,000 oz gold p.a. scenario in PEA:
• US$418M NPV and IRR 54% at US$1,700 oz gold. price to book ratio 0.16 times
• US$628M NPV and IRR 74% at US$2,000 oz gold. price to book ratio 0.10 times
• US$769M NPV and IRR 87% at US$2,200 oz gold. price to book ratio 0.09 times”
Let’s take the middle one which is conservative as there seems to be a widely held view that Gold is going much higher.
So that gives a value of £503 million. If anyone thinks Jim Mellon is going to sell something currently valued at £500 million for £60 million I think you have a problem. If an offer comes in at double the current sp 66p that still only values CNR at £120 million, which is less than 25% of the valuation. The sp should continue its rise even in the absence of further news as it is massively below the likely sale price and will move much higher in minutes when the first offer lands.