RE: Vaccine production21 Oct 2020 15:15
I hear and respect what you say SpammySpamton. You make a good point, there is no doubt that we are entering a deep post COVID recession, worldwide and people will cut back on discretionary spend, including holidays - so there will be pressure on margins, less holidays sold.... agree, but.... TUI was well over 1000 before the pandemic, I cannot see it getting to that level for many years, but 600p next year is more than possible IMO, it has got close to that this year. There is pent up demand from those wanting to travel but too scared or can't be bothered with the hassles air travel involves, Boeings will be flying, TUI is embarking on massive cost cutting, disposing of assets etc, not to mention that there will be less competition. However, all this is dependent on a working vaccine (and/or better/quicker testing etc). If there isn't one then I fear air travel is doomed in its current form. But I firmly believe that there will be one rolled out soon. PS: Don't forget TUI operates in China, which is "booming". At the end of the day, none of us have a crystal ball, it's all about making educated, researched guesses, or punts and hoping for some good luck.