Member Info for Ian1970

Robert Gleed - what are you going to wear when you take you car in for an MOT? I'm just asking out of interest.

I pedal my plane.

40p by close tomorrow. You read it here first.

Long term, this company will be fine IMO with a dominant market share in package holidays and good management, short term I'm watching from the sidelines until the RI plays out before I jump back in.

On a positive note, once the debt is under control/reduced, TUI has some good growth opportunities. But I am out for now. Sold the last trench of shares this morning at 454 (bought at 292). Will look to get back in after RI. Good luck all.

Totally agree ANAPA - I nearly sold when you got out, but waited too long, still got out at just under 500 (bought in under 300 so a tidy profit. I think this is too risky now given what's going on. Thinking about putting some into oil companies. You called it right again. It's getting annoying now! lol

I've done a U-turn. I was spooled and I have sold most of my shares, I appreciate it is following a panic selloff, I bought in at an average of 291 and sold for 489, nerves got the better of me. I can just see it floating down again. I've kept a token amount just to stay in the game . I think on retrospect it has further to fall than 450p, I am definitely looking for another entry point, but may hold off to the new year. Good luck to all, still think it is a great company and there is long -term growth here.

Reaction to RNS announcement. Typical market overreaction. Personally I would buy in. But DYOR. I'm topping up if it goes under 450.

Looks like it is being received badly.

The debt in relation to market cap looks very unhealthy and and RI Is only a a matter of time as well as asset sales, but this will ensure the company's long-term health. I am pondering (I am sure others are too) whether to just hold and forget for a couple of years as has been suggested or bail out with a decent profit (I bought in at under 300p).

It's early days, I suppose, but I expected it to soar this morning on vaccine news. Odd that two other shares in my portfolio - Ted Baker has gone up despite news over Arcadia and G4S has gone up 8%. Maybe the approval was priced in for Tui or it's Brexit wobbles. I never get it.

UK travelers are an important market for TUI plus it is listed on FTSE (as well as DAX). We are the sixth biggest economy in the world and we like our holidays. I think at the moment the focus is on Brexit and whether that deal is finalised, which will be good for European stock markets, including travel stocks. I would expect a surge if a deal is concluded. Once reports and pictures of people receiving vaccine shots, I would anticipate another rise. All speculation of course.

Brexit outcome will have the next biggest effect (up or down if there is or isn't one). I would bet that they will almost definitely pull something out of the hat last minute. If so expect all stocks to soar, I reckon TUI could go up 20% in a week. If not, God help us all.

Prediction that in the next few weeks the tabloid headlines will be pictures of nurses and doctors receiving vaccines, with the headline something like "Vaccine rollout begins....", along with boxes of the stuff being unloaded from lorries around the country. At this point, I would expect(hope) 600 is breached. But I am usually wrong.

That simply isn't true, the virus was identified in China on 17th November. At this point TUI was trading around 1050-1080. In February it was trading over 900. (google the share price).The crash happened in March, when the world woke up to the fact the virus was not going to be contained. So we are still well below levels at beginning of the year. Will it get back to those levels? Probably not for a while because of the debt, but there is still some good growth in the pipeline IMHO. Don't forget Boeings have been given green light to fly again, competitors will go out of business, vaccines will be distributed, I'd bet on a Brexit deal being pulled out of the hat, and people are desperate to holiday again.

Keepcalmandcarry on 1000p is a little ambitious given what it was this level around the time of the Covid crash, but I hope I am wrong and you are right :-)

Further to my last post SP hit 520 back in June, when vaccine was way off, before falling. So we are only just above that, but today Boeings are allowed to fly, Brexit about to be sorted and there is a vaccine, quarantine down to 5 days etc, however, there is a lot more debt that has been accumulated during the restrictions. On balance I think we have some more growth here, and longer term TUI will be able to increase market share. Just my opinion. But without wanting to gloat I have almost doubled my money in the last 4 months ( nearly a six figure gain) so would take something drastic to wipe that out.

I think it is mostly priced in, but the other factor is Brexit, my bet is they will pull a deal out at the last minute and it will trigger another spike in travel stocks and the market in general...... we'll see.

Delighted with today too - will be interesting what happens tomorrow - will either be a sharp fall with profit takers etc or a sustained rise. I hope it is the latter.

That has put me in a quandary. Sold a chunk at a nice profit to cover RI, but wondering whether we've seen the bulk of growth and now is time to get out with a tidy profit. DMOR.