RE: UK Govt contract for dead body storage25 Jul 2021 12:26
Further to my recent posts on covid from the latest issue of New Scientist, on the subject of how many deaths are acceptable, it said -
"Opening up society will mean that more people will die from covid-19 than if restrictions remained. No country has explicitly said the level of covid-19 deaths it will tolerate, but some countries, such as New Zealand, have effectively decided to accept no infections or deaths, instead pursuing an elimination strategy.
Ministers have acknowledged that the ending of all covid-19 restrictions in England will lead to more deaths, but haven’t said how many are acceptable.
Modelling by Anne Cori at Imperial College London and her colleagues suggests there could be anything from 9400 to 113,000 deaths from covid-19 in England between 2 July 2021 and 1 June 2022, depending on how people behave and how well the vaccines work, but she stresses the uncertainties. “I would not emphasise any specific numbers,” says Cori.
Other modellers agree. “Forecasting death numbers is much more difficult than anything else,” says Matt Keeling at the University of Warwick, UK.
Even countries that have pursued an elimination strategy may be forced to tolerate waves of infections and deaths when they open up after vaccination campaigns are complete."
Just remember, as mum used to say, 'if it isn't clean enough to put in your mouth, don't bring it in the house'. Sage advice.