RE: Shorting17 Jun 2018 14:33
At the end of the day....
The known warrants are out there.
The known end share state as it is today is out there.
In my opinion, it has to be that which has dragged the SP down, alongside then self-fulfilling charting, and also PI’s expecting the effect and also selling.
For me down here it’s just churning about (and don’t shoot me down) healthily.
I as you know look at things positively, so my two cents is as follows:
I’ve based my forward looking projects on roughly 150,000,000 shares being in issue, and see no reason for that to change in the future.
1.) this has provided an opportunity to increase holdings, or buy into a company at an artificially low price to the true value of its assets, it’s people, and its growth potential.
2.) the end-state known shares in issue is currently 148,914,367. There is no room at present to issue more, and if the company indeed can manage to get WD free carry in the 20-30% + bracket that would be a significant revenue stream.
3.) ED will continue to support us, regardless of the end state with the additional 16 wells in the Southern section, the initial 8 wells will carry us through and enable us to find drilling in WD alongside partner (non-dilutive) capital.
4.) Kansas could well be an additional revenue stream brought on line early, it could also make DTU progression rapid if it enables us to perform tests at a cost neutral position to us imminently, and then potentially at a small profit even during the testing process.
5.) Helios at present should not be an expensive re-visit and should enable us to get some comfort of the increased asset value there if that test proves successful. Whilst not immediately providing proof of commercial viability it will certainly indicate everything is as expected and the current assumptions on how best to make it viable are all looking good.
6.) whilst these warrants may well have been used to depress the share price, one has to look at the upside. Having mentioned the ability to increase holdings “cheaply” with additional shares.
6.a) The 1,666,667 warrants expire on 31st July and provide the value of £200,000 (or ~ $300,000) into the company bank accounts. According to the recent RNS’s that’s likely to more than cover the Kansas Charlie 1 and Barret 1-14 wells. Im using this as an example before certain individuals claim the “cash drain” on our bank accounts....
6.b) After these the only other warrants in play either belong to Robert, or a smaller number of broker warrants (990,000) which don’t expire until 2020, and as we move forward with the projects and revalue accordingly, would more than likely be used for profit. When II’s look to get involved it’s more likely they would get converted and sold straight to an II.
As far as additional money goes:
1,500,000 Advisory board warrants at 25p. If belong to the AB they unlikely