a safer way20 Apr 2016 10:19
to take a gamble on this share, is , IMVHO, to buy POL. I understand all the arguments about how Bangladesh is short of energy, is planning coal fired energy generation and has its own massive resource, which , if given the fabled "green light" will cause GCM to rocket to price in pounds rather than pence. The problems I see are that there has been extreme reluctance to develop and use the indigenous coal resource - but for political , illogical and prejudiced reasons - and those forces have if anything become stronger, There is more prejudice against coal than there ever was, and the poorly educated folk of Bangladesh ( does it have about 50% illiteracy or have I got it wrong?) are not very susceptible to complex arguments about climate change and environmental protection. There is also international opprobrium regarding the use of coal these days. The risk is that politicians will continue to delay , call for reports, convene committees etc and in the end go for a fudge that doesn't help the share price here. As stupid as it sounds, they could import coal instead of using their own resource to placate protesters - as a kind of illogical compromise. And if things were done logically there, it wouldn't be in the state it's in.
As much as I'd like this share to take off, because of my holding in POL, I just don't see it happening. POL's GCM holding hardly registers at all in POL's sp now, and people have commented that if GCM did take off, it could double or treble POL. Just my humble POV.