RE: Metals prices7 Jun 2022 13:01
Metals prices matter a lot. Good/high prices mean that the IRR on projects makes them fundable with bank debt. Listen to the interview with the guy from Altius I posted the other day. He was saying that at $4.00 a pound for copper new mines did not make economic sense and that the copper price needed to be $8.00 a pound.
High prices for metals means that partners will come looking for JVs and predators will look to buy out companies. Look at what happened with Big G and Musonoi or Nzurri Copper and Kalongwe.
Lastly, it makes a difference to our potential claim against Big G. Our potential loss is one figure at $4.00 a pound and a different one at $8.00 a pound. Potential as in we haven't made it yet but before people start hyper ventilating.
At $4,000 a tonne not much is happening with copper but at $20k a tonne, now you are talking. $20,000 is where the Altius guy reckons it is going.
400,000 tonnes of copper at $20,000 x 50.1% is a big number. That sort of number is the starting point for working out what the potential claim might be. It doesn't mean that is what the claim will end up being or that we will get it but you have to start the calculations somewhere.
DYOR