RE: Hey Troll Hunter!!!17 May 2022 13:59
As I said issues with reading and comprehension.
0.65p and 0.7p is not 0.6p.
The 0.65p was a year or so ago and the 0.7p was for 4mil 0.35p warrant shares two weeks ago. I realise I could have gotten higher but 0.7p was good enough. That doesn't equate to traded out, dumped them or whatever you want to label it.
The main reason people lose money is because they don't understand what they are doing. You can only sell shares if others are willing to buy them. I could have sold some at 0.8p the other day but the market was too thin.
I will wait on this going higher before trading any more. As to faith, if you have that you should go to church or temple or whatever. This is about making money and to do that you have to analyse correctly.
You lot don't analyse because you are consumed by emotion. If you calm down and do some analysis you will be able to work out that pre-capex, NTOG's FCF is about $300k pm at around $100 a barrel. That is post Fouke#2 and pre GE#1.
Currently, WTI is $113.20. So NTOG is probably selling at around $110 and its lift costs at Fouke are less than $10 a barrel. Put that into the calculations along with the projections that oil is heading to $120/$150 a barrel.
Post GE#1, assuming we get 60 bopd, then the FCF goes to about $400kpm. That would mean that NTOG can pick up its share of a new Cypress well every month or it could pick up the cost of a new GE well every 2 months. That doesn't take into account the Washington Federal facility, plus the warrant exercises and the proceeds of selling any non-core assets.
Bottom line is NTOG can probably fund another 3/4 wells this year without coming to the market.
If things work out okay, ie., the new wells successfully drilled and WTI higher, NTOG could be $600k/$1mil pm FCF by year end.
I am still of the view that NTOG is a bid target. The more FCF is puts in place, the more likely something will happen.
And I expect NTOG to hedge some production once WTI goes over $115. Two weeks ago it was possible to hedge for $100 for the rest of this year.
I have been telling you for a while what would happen and you have just trolled instead of analysing.
Anyway, good luck with your trolling. I hope it makes you feel all warm and cuddly inside.
DYOR