RE: Status of Lithium projections?11 Jul 2023 14:54
Duke, well they obviously do think it matters.
When RRR confirmed receipt of the EIA certificate it shot up 80% even though production had not started. So the market at one point thought that news worth £4mil ish. Separately, a broker report did a SOTP calculation and it included RRR's holding in ALR at £1mil ie., about £2mil gross. At the time of that report ALR did not have the EIA certificate and so the valuation was solely based on Tin Hill and that RRR expected an EIA certificate plus it had some licence applications in train.
So whatever you "think" ALR is now worth more; if that broker report is redone then purely on the same valuation methodology you would think that they come at around ten times what they said in the report: 10x the acreage, EIA certificate in place for one asset, EIA applications in train for the others and so on. I suspect that they would come out at around 15 times more.
So you now need to go back and say what should it be valued at now? Whichever way you cut it, it is more; how much more, who knows?
DYOR