RE: ALR22 Sep 2023 12:42
No kisses means I have not posted a link with something factual etc so no need for DYOR as I have previously told you.
The kisses are because although your lack of understanding is perplexing our fun exchanges are just that fun, you know what I mean.
So now you have admitted that ALR is worth decent money, you can't have it both ways, that it is worth nothing whilst at the same time accepting it is worth decent money. Again, what is your opinion? You claim you want me to protect your position (but that only would be relevant if you are a shareholder) yet at the same time have no view on what it is worth. How is it possible to protect your position of you have no idea on what it is worth?
As I explained to you about NPV10 calculations and the discount necessary to secure a sale, what it can be sold for is not what it is "worth".
So to "protect your position" what should we accept as a sale price? $10mil/$20mil and so on....
The big issue for me is that the only way to get full value is to keep the asset, operate it and sell the resultant product. The problem with that is that it involves accepting other risks.
So to see the way forward you need a calculus in mind about what price now is better than operating it for maybe 15 years.
Since you are reluctant to properly admit what you think it is worth, my calculus is as follows:
1. New investor/new money/JV: below $20mil pre-money valuation, no.
2. Sell the assets: below $50mil, no.
3. Sell the assets; between $50mil and $100mil, maybe
A 4th option which you might not have considered is as follows:
now that we know Tin Hill is materially greater than first supposed, keep that asset, operate it and bank the cashflow; JV the other licences (granted and in train).
Operating across maybe seven sites is a big ask and probably beyond ALR/RRR's current management teams.
DYOR & xx