Rose's Law12 Oct 2014 17:50
"Quantum computers will leave Moore’s Law far, far behind
by Signe Brewster MAR. 19, 2014 - 1:16 PM PDT
... Classical computers are only as good as the number of transistors they have. According to Moore’s Law, that number doubles every two years.
That pace may soon slow, but there’s an alternative: quantum computing, which relies not on transistors but on particles to perform calculations much more quickly.
... D-Wave is also continuously improving the speed of its computer. Brownell said it follows what the company likes to call “Rose’s Law,” after its founder: every two years, it will quadruple the number of qubits (particles coaxed into a specific quantum state) its computers run on, “more or less like clockwork.” Like transistors, more qubits equals more power. And D-Wave has already progressed from a computer with 128 qubits to an upcoming machine with 1,000. ..."
D-Wave's progress in line with Rose's law, i.e. quadrupling the number of qubits (quantum bits) every two years, would be exponential:
2014: 1,152 qubits
2016: 4,608 qubits
2018: 18,432 qubits
2020: 73,728 qubits
This sort of electrifying progress might have seemed fanciful only about a decade ago.
For D-Wave, it should mean that it will be able to IPO in the next year or so with a multi-billion dollar market cap.
And in the second half of this decade I believe that "quantum computing" will come to be the term on everyone's lips, as the implications of the quantum computing revolution sink home.
More revolutionary indeed than the internet revolution, which is 'merely' the transfer of information, whereas quantum computing enables the creation of it ... at revolutionary new levels.
If the internet boom was the apéritif, then quantum computing could be the main course.