RE: Solus27 Apr 2018 16:40
In a more normal situation, Oldpa, I'd agree with you every time.
However, in terms of looking after its underlying clients' interests, there's an argument that says that Solus propping up AVN for a few extra million (say by committing to the �4.15m of shares that didn't get taken up by PIs under the Open Offer) is better for its clients than letting AVN fail and recovering what it can on their behalf from an asset fire-sale. It's kind of like the old "if you owe the bank �100k, then you've got a problem, but if you owe the bank �100m, then the bank's got a problem."
I can't see AVN raising the missing $45m (or $85m) by more normal funding routes any time soon - so, given that they've stated they need this cash by June 30th or the lights get switched off, I can't help but think that they simply must have funding already lined up somehow... I mean can you imagine the hideous barrel that any lender would have them over, given their publicly stated need, if they still haven't got the necessary secured already - and that's even if they could find one?
No, I think there must be an as yet unannounced but already agreed arrangement in place. That missing $45m / $85m is just too huge - and too imminent - not to have been sorted out along with the D4E swap. We just need a clear and concise RNS telling us what's been done to defuse the ticking bomb highlighted in the last RNS.
(Well... I bloody well hope the above is the case. The alternative is just a tad too scary to consider).
JMO