RE: BOE remit.5 Nov 2021 14:14
Interesting article from Investors Chronicle regarding communication from BOE MPC and Andrew Bailey prior to the meeting yesterday:
Bank holds - for now
The Bank of England sprung something of a surprise on equity markets yesterday as it chose to leave interest rates in the UK at 0.1 per cent, despite significant mood music coming from Monetary Policy Committee members in recent weeks suggesting a rise was imminent. But comments from the governor Andrew Bailey following the decision suggest a move upwards will come soon enough and rates could go as ‘high’ as 1 per cent during 2022 as the Bank walks a fine line between reining in inflation, which Bailey admitted could top 5 per cent in 2022, and not choking off growth.
This is what Neil Wilson of Markets.com had to say: “The Bank of England delivered a surprise by not raising rates, sending gilts and sterling into a bit of a spin. It’s really one of those moments where you have to question the communication strategy of the BoE. It had multiple occasions on which it could have gently nudged against the growing market anticipation around the November meeting being live but chose not to, and appeared to actively encourage tightening bets. Credibility is at stake, Mr Bailey. I’d said a hike was no slam dunk due to the way certain MPC members were leaning, but Bailey has been cheerleading tighter policy and didn’t vote for it himself – which suggests either he’s bad at communicating his views or there were simply not enough votes for him so he refrained from being a minority voter.”