Important time for SP29 Jul 2021 17:35
Undoubtedly this is an important time for the SP evolution of the company and it's future.
I ignored the noise on the BB over last few days…an absolute disgrace. I hope genuine posters had enough conviction to hold their shares.
Looking back at 2020 audited FS these were prepared on a 'going concern' basis - due to „advanced funding negotiations“ taking place for first IM/revenue generation. Without successful completion, the risk is that the company's MCap can not be maintained even with the CLN's in place (which we were advised will now be restructured/replaced).
So we are awaiting 2 key catalysts (re "Term Sheet" with the Italian Banking Group and the Fintech Bank):
" 1. the signing of a commercial agreement to manage both the origination of new Client companies and a multi-annual inventory funding plan; and
2. the execution of a first inventory monetisation transaction involving a portfolio of Italian Client Companies."
If the above is completed sooner rather than later (insiders must know - could explain what I think was an orchestrated drop in SP yesterday), the recent fall in SP should stop and begin it's long overdue re-rate (however if it drops further, I will consider adding some more).
The acquisition of TF (completed on 06.07.21) was a good move strategically, however that in itself is not enough to sustain a MC of £100m+ and seeing as there's been mostly a lack of news flow throughout this entire month, the SP has (gradually) dropped by 25% from 0.38p to 0.28p now (notwithstanding the moves yesterday and today).
It’s interesting to compare this period of time to last year‘s when the SP had a major re-rate in August and compare the 'net volumes' traded.
Last year the re-rate started on 10.8.20 following the release of major news (re 'MOU of First Pilot in MENA region'). The total ‚net volume sold‘ (not bought) in the days prior (from around 23.07.20) was approx 2.1b shares „sold“ which is not dissimilar to the current period during July (post TF acquisition) when the SP started to drop from 07.07.21 to 27.7 with 2.3b net volume sold (per charts on investing.com).
If we add in the volumes yesterday and today, it comes to a ‚net volume sold‘ of 2.7b (but of course we also have more shares in issue now compared to last year).
So the comparisons are interesting and comparable but the selling would need to finally stop to move into a ‚net volume bought‘ position.
'Ready to sink' (further) or 'ready to fly' (finally)?
We wait with baited breath to find out. GLA!