RE: CARD Finally On the Move?12 Jul 2024 14:07
Glowacki,
I think there is a lot of truth in what you say as evidenced by recent CARD SP performance despite good results and reinstatement of the divi.
I particularly agree your comment about poor sentiment and it's effect on the mid-cap sector, however I differentiate CARD short term prospects from most other mid caps on a number of aspects not necessarily shared across most other mid caps.
1. Great fundamentals and very cash generative
2. Net Debt dramatically reduced - down from >£140m in 2020 to "just" £34m last year which is circa £24m p.a. reduction p.a. At next res maybe we can see net debt sub £10m?
3. Divi reinstatement at an initial level of nearly 4.5% and with div cover of 3.2x, and next res should also reinstate the interim which will boost this yield further. Also CARD has history of distributing specials as last seen in 2018 and 2019 prior to covid.
4. CARD has previously definitely felt "unloved" and under the radar for many investors, but that could gradually change as it gets positive exposure in press and in broker notes as seen this past week or so. Maybe it is just a coincidence, but the SP has risen from circa 93p to 101p in past 8 days since that first broker upgrade, or maybe Teleios are no longer selling which would be even better.
Finally, as we head closer to interest rate reductions, those companies with high and secure divi will become much more attractive