The latest Investing Matters Podcast with Jean Roche, Co-Manager of Schroder UK Mid Cap Investment Trust has just been released. Listen here.
D/machine all index futures just reopened at 11pm .. and most dropped 0.4% .. sea of red .. but we have all night for them to recover .. I agree . .. we might see 47/48 b4 they bounce
Futures were open for business friday evening .. the post makes this clear .. lol .. the post is also a share of an opinion and neutral.
Like you say .. 1) You know nothing about AML .. So I agree best you dont invest if that worries you .. I know AML .. its processes and mgt team .. which helps a lot
Happy with my position
Deos
I bought in initially at 58p .. then 50 .. 44 .. and a lot more at 33p .. missed 27p cause i was out of cash reserve haha .. sold £15k at 87p .. wish it had been all of it obvs .. then 80% of my stock at 73p and last 10% at 63.5p .. so sat with all cash as it crashed .. went in at 55p .. and again at 49 ish and 50 .. but .. to give it context .. only have £30k in AML share .. rest is still cash as I have learnt patience rather than rushing in like last time .. so if it tanks I can mop up big time and if it rises I am still in the game and will day trade for fun ... I only run AML shares and have watched every 1min/3min/5min candle since March 20th .. haha .. regime starts at 6.50am and finishes at 5.30pm .. was just to kill lockdown but actually onve u get to know how a share breathes and moves its easier to make some quids .. I know AML processes and automotive OEM .. so for me its just a short term growth of equity and then dive out .. no emotion to AML at all
Ftse futures are at minus 0.5 ... US futures are positive after a 3% drop.
AML share normally moves by a factor of (FTSE move x 4) .. ignore last 10 days where it followed FTSE .. that was manipulation for yesterdays main event.
So if futures stay as they are .. AML will drop 2% .. 50p .. maybe ftse futures will drop to 1% when they re-open .. AML will drop 4% .. 49p ..
This will be repeated in week if there is another US panic crash
However .. it was clear friday .. the share moving to 53p the market had accepted the dilution .. so it could bounce even with ftse down .. those of us who have been in this months have seen that many times too
So what do we need to see 40p and 45p .. a little index meltdown next week .. this could happen .. i think 15% chance .. 85% chance the share will ping about a bit in the 50's and early 60's
This is just my opinion
The Sp will bounce between low 50's maybe even back to 50p and 65 to 70p for next 8 to 12 weeks .. with Covid worries .. Poor Q2 results and other news etc .. DBX sales and AML support will be the drivers for the 65/70p top end.
My plan is to buy at the low 50' and sell in 60's ready to rebuy again low 50's .. i think this will be an easy 20/25% each time over next few weeks .. just need to time it for when it jumps back to a solid 70p support base .. haha .. will be able to judge that though hopefully
Still think this will have a one off dip next week to something between 45 and 50p .. I will be buying every 2p drop .. I dont think its worth keeping powder dry for 40 and 30p .. sentiment was too strong buying into the 50p level
Inv .. managed to get £5k at 49.8p and £5k at 50.1p .. had to buy in 2 tranches as could not get 10k to go through . Also piled some in at 55p just before 50p RNS came out .. we live and learn .. Ftse futures are down for Monday .. but does not look enough to drive this share down at this price .. however if Covid panic continues .. this share is fair game like any other and just because it had a placing at 50p may not stop it sliding to 48p .. 45p etc .. cant see it ever going lower .. I am shocked anybody sold at 50p .. i know a few of us got some.
https://youtu.be/To7FYzn-P9g
Talented 1 .. Thanks for the video .. he hits all the obvs downside of AML spot on .. nice to see a neutral viewpoint suggesting this is not a buy ..hopefully we will see a nice bounce tomorrow and that will be me done with a nice profit .. Been good watching/learning and chatting on here .. but i want to lock in my profit pre AML crash and could see you all in future .. GLA
FTSE and dax futures showing positive .. so this is not a collapse back to 55p or less .. make the most of it .. top up . Or just wait .. if u sold at 73p or more .. good action lol .. fill your boots .. nothing to see here ...
Q2 results will be bad. Will not be 100% factored in as guessing another 150 to £200m loss .. which means they will run out of cash again .. so I am expecting to see an SP drop back into 60's maybe even 60p .. worse if they go back out for funding .. but .. we know demand is strong and the SP will bounce back once its yesterdays news