RE: No reason to buy here14 Jan 2022 16:21
Sausage
We have systematically failed as a business since October 2017 with an operational plan that simply doesn't work. The climate in this area has a significant bearing on our mining which means between April and November we need to be selling way above our break even target to mitigate the potential risks of the rainy season. We simply don't seem to be able to get there, we've spent well over four years trying and probably lost c£5million in the process.
There is no CPP plan - none, as it's all talk - and to get to a point where a RNS was released saying "start of power production" could be 5years plus away. Given COP26 and the fact we would need a consistent supply of coal of probably tens of thousands of tonnes every month, do we really think that will ever happen? I just can't see it.
The biggest frustration for me over the last year has been the consolidation, because it generally flattens the price volatility and makes trading down your average more difficult.
Esquimo's post earlier sort of sums up where I am - perhaps one positive is IIs still feel there is an investment case, but as I've posted before, I tend to take that with a pinch of salt given we've seen no TR1s. That says a lot about whether it's actually long term investment or a quick buck.
So, that leaves me with no current investment case for PIs if I'm honest, but then I only have myself to blame for still being here. This was one of my earliest forays into shares and I have, to my own cost, become emotionally attached to Edenville hence why even when I have sold up several times in the past I've somehow found a reason to convince myself to buy back. Therein lies a lesson.
Genuinely GLA, but unless Alastair has a warren of rabbits in his hat, I'm just not convinced.