RE: wres21 Apr 2021 18:28
Rubbish Safetyman. Your argument makes no sense and is not true
Figure 5 Page 6
Financials (US$m) 2021 2022
Total Revenue (US$m) 11.5 34.3
EBITDA (US$m) 0.3 15.1
Total opex (US$m) -11.2 -19.2
Opex ($/mtu) 248 131
Opex inc by-products ($/mtu) 199 103
For the critical issue of metallurgical recoveries, we assume a gradual improvement in both tungsten and tin recoveries over the remainder of 2021. For tungsten we assume, 40%, 50%, 65% for Q2, Q3, Q4 and then reaching target 72% by 2023. We believe this is reasonable given that the plant has already proven that it can run at 60% recovery (in February) but only time will tell whether this is too aggressive. For tin recovery we take a similar approach, assuming 50%, 55%, 60% for Q2, Q3 and Q4. Opex remains difficult to peg given the stop/start operation of the plant and lack of published guidance. However, we assume high costs currently, and an average of $172/mtu inc tin credits for 2021, slowly descending to $102/mtu long-term ($130/mtu before credits). This is purely an assumption, and we may have to revise this when WRES starts providing operating cost details. On the corporate side, our model assumes Blackrock interest is paid as PIK for 2021, and then cash interest thereafter (roughly €6m p.a). We assume the €5.3m Extremadura grant is paid in H1-2021 as per the 15/1/2021 RNS.