RE: Endless14 May 2021 11:51
"Tin massively above the Shard forecast"
"Tungsten above the Shard forecast."
Shard have not made any forecast at all. They have made assumptions. In the case of Tin which is currently flying high, the express caution because of price volatility
"Our model now assumes flat $260/mtu going forwards. Although this is conservative, we will
review our price assumptions if the improvement in tungsten fundamentals is sustained.
$260/mtu was in any case, close to the 5-year average pre- Fanya/Covid. The LME tin price is
currently at multi-year highs ($27,833/t) having increased from c. $15,000t a year ago. Our
model now assumes an average price of $23,000/t for 2021 before descending to $20,000/t
long-term. Although this may seem conservative, our assumption takes into the account the
fact that tin is notoriously volatile."