RE: No Need to Speculate Look at the Facts29 Apr 2023 21:10
I agree with OP. Consensus probably is that board rolled over too easily and I do feel for anyone underwater on the back of the payout being overhyped, but now that the deal has been struck all that really matters $90m net by Feb 2024. It's so significant relative to market cap that their current projects could amount to nothing (perhaps this is what market is assuming given depressed SP), and we'd still be up from here.
Frankly they could shut the doors for all I care (given salaries/cashburn maybe that wouldn't be the worst idea in the world), as long as they endeavour to pay shareholders by Q1 next year we're in cruise control now.
Only uncertainty is how much will they retain for investment vs dividend. Fingers crossed they don't take the p*ss here. But all things considered at current share price this does appear to be one of those rare birds. Just my opinion, and my rationale for buying in.