Crystal Amber19 May 2023 11:16
For a lot of us the big unanswered question has been why Crystal Amber agreed to this deal. The board's hopelessness and vested interests quite transparently explained their rationale, and Kerogen seemingly too big to care either way.
With Crystal Amber though pressure from Saba only goes so far to explain their willingness to accept the illiquid DCUs and effectively entrusting Prax with the company's prospects, while implying we should be grateful to Prax for paying out what was already Hurricane money.
Here's a theory. It's quite striking that the Crystal Amber board themselves own barely any shares in their fund directly, all less than 0.05%. Then Bernstein's holding co has 8.29%.
They make their money through fund management fees, rather than direct exposure to their holdings. Hefty ones at ~2%, charged on NAV rather than share price.
What's interesting about that is the moment Hurricane delists the NAV value apportioned will suddenly be more subjective.
Conflictingly they don't use an independent valuer for their unlisted holdings. Could it be they spotted opportunity that with this leeway rather than whatever the share price is on delist, they can nudge it up by including some/all of the DCU? The higher the value assigned, the more fees they can charge.
But why would they be willing to wait all those years for a payout in full? It's been suggested that a willing marketplace for the largest shareholders' DCUs is suddenly 'discovered' after delist. As in you give us irrevocables for this deal and we'll sort you out later, potentially leaving PIs the only ones bagholding the Prax IOU. Who knows.
The thing is even if that cynical view is wrong and Prax are in fact delightful people, even the years long wait still potentially benefits CA, because it means they get to keep their fund open and continue charging fees.