RE: Down we go....20 Jan 2022 18:23
Boyo - it does look like a natural pull-back, but maybe the shares had a touch of altitude sickness, as they have not been this high for some time. Maybe influenced by Biden's talk of releasing some strategic reserves (how much oil is there in a strategic reserve - well we can't tell you exactly, because it's strategic), co-ordinated with other countries. And partly by talk of a Windfall tax on the energy companies over here. Maybe a Windfall Tax will make a few voters happier, but it is addressing the symptoms and not the cause, so it would be a bit of a temporary one-off fix.
Without any doubt BvB has already discussed the issue of a Windfall Tax with Bozo as part of his negotiations to domicile Shell in the UK, and Shell is here, so that I would hazard a guess that a Windfall Tax will not happen, or it will be relatively innocuous. BvB probably said sorry the costs of going green etc are very high, a 5% increase in dividend will only keep pace with current CPI inflation, what do you want UK? We need to be attractive to entice our new British investors?
Then stunning results on the 3rd February. Even after claiming they will use the Permian sale proceeds solely for buy-backs the Shell treasure chest will be bursting at the seams! Even with as much capital allocated & hidden as possible, there will be a few additional coins to throw to the long-suffering shareholders.
Then probably/maybe a traditional dip in the SP with a dose of post-results apathy and malaise. Then a nice pick-up again towards Ex-dividend day on the 17th February
There are a few SP rocket boosters to fire off between now and the results announcement on the 3rd February though. RDS becomes Shell plc on the 24th January, followed by unification of the A & B shares, then the first day of dealing in the new shares. The likelihood is that the