RE: Gazprom27 Feb 2022 23:11
I agree Boyo, this places BP in a very vulnerable position to be the victim of a predatory takeover, or alternately a "friendly" merger.
The current European/world dynamics have brought the timetable forward significantly. But Shell is well placed to take full advantage of BP's weakness, as it involuntarily offloads it's 19.75% stake in Rosneft, which has suddenly become a political millstone. BP look like losing a few billion on a forced sale, as in tandem with this it becomes a cash rich target.
Shell has been simplifying its capital structure, paying down debt, almost manically improving gearing, making strategic sales of profitable assets, cutting costs, improving branding, embracing renewables, switching to a more accommodating domicile, from the start of 2022 as a UK company they would no longer be taking over the UK's biggest oil producer because this had become Shell etc etc. I would have been shocked if nothing had happened in terms of a BP takeover or merger around this Summer, but events have just made this much more likely, much more quickly for me.