RE: Investment Day14 Oct 2019 19:09
Thanks for highlighting that VanVan. There's a link on their website about the Investor Day, I share below.
Any hint of the next Dividend level by Alexander Frolov, for a dividend in March 2020, and holding at a good level will be good news.
Steel prices are low and look roughly at 2017 levels.
So... Sticking my neck out with a humble opinion.
Prices staying at this level could well mean they'll keep the dividend around $0.30 which would indeed signal a boost in the share price of EVR, but would not react until the Steel price proves it can strengthen.
A strength of Evraz is highlighted in the recent conference call. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/edited-transcript-evr-l-earnings-184823821.html
"Yes. Speaking about our self-sufficiency, we are fully covered in Europe division, so with the NTMK, with respect to iron ore, so we're 100% self-sufficient. Speaking about our Siberian assets, our self-sufficiency is approximately 60%...
When we calculate the cash cost for steel, yes, we use the market prices."
"Talking about Russian assets, coal and steel I don't think that we expect any big changes in the cost just because of our vertical integration."
Putting that together, costs for the coming year similar to this year, capex spend of $800m and EPS levels keeping up with 2017. IMO it does mean the share price looks over sold and a slow bump rating upwards possibly to around 500p or more, as long as the steel prices hold up, which IMO look like they will if that World Steel Association article below is right.
Steel Prices : 2002 to 2019
http://steelbenchmarker.com/files/history.pdf
https://www.lme.com/Metals/Ferrous#tabIndex=0
World Steel Association
https://www.steeltimesint.com/index.php/news/view/world-steel-association-short-range-outlook-significant-downside-risks-ahea
"Steel demand in China will grow by 7.8% to reach 900.1Mt, according to the World Steel Associationβs Short Range Outlook (SRO) released today. The rest of the world is expected to record 0.2% growth to 874.9Mt.
For 2019, global steel demand will grow by 3.9% to 1.775 Mt and by another 1.7% in 2020, reaching 1,805.7Mt."
It's all speculations and roundabouts though. But I am looking to average down my holding and buy, now we're just above 400p, the base of the broker recommendations.
Anyone else with opinions ?
https://www.evraz.com/en/investors/events/cmd-2019/
The event will begin at 9:00 am local time and include presentations, Q&A session and a buffet lunch with management. The registration will begin at 8:15 am local time.
Key topics and speakers:
Opening remarks - Sir Michael Peat, Senior Independent non-executive director
ESG - Alexander Frolov, CEO
Market outlook - Alexander Frolov, CEO
EVRAZβ strategy - Alexander Frolov, CEO
Strategy execution - Alexey Ivanov, Senior VP, Commerce and Business development
Digital transformation - Artem Natrusov, VP, Information Technologies
Financial overview -