RE: Looks like someone fancied going large at 14p22 May 2025 18:17
Its nice to see some stabilisation with the larger trades. However, I expect we still need more churn as ST traders did not get their easy money.
Fundamentally I think we are in a good place as 1.6bn is not some inflated number. If you adjusted the de grey study for our grade and a gold prices you would be hitting 3bn usd+. Our claim is 50pct of this and already reflects the stage of the asset.
I have said before if you make a simple royalty argument using.
0.5m oz of production ( 7m+ in study)
30pct royalty ( other lesser deposits were in 20s)
3000 gold ( above that and can hedge)
You can easily justify 450m usd award pre tax.
I still believe that the award will be large, and not on the basis of wishful thinking. The rise in the gold market really made a good award hard to argue against