RE: Breaking 60p finally y18 Mar 2025 14:20
BB is pretty pitiful given the sp. These clowns need to scrap the dividend and commit to using the funds toward the full maximum 10% BB level. They should set aside a budget that would comfortably achieve this over the next 12 months and make a point of spreading the word across the market. Shareholders can forgive not getting some p!ssy little 1.5% yield in order to ensure 10% of shares are going to be cancelled in the next year.
The next things these f@cking !diots need to do is sell the DIS segment. Some here think 10x is realistic. If so then get on with it and sell for $180m. This is the mcap of the company at the moment and ascribes nothing to the circa $50m EBITDA they will be making in the next 12 months from the remaining segments, which should be the lowest point for the foreseeable future. Not rocket science as to what they need to divest. At 10x they would be debt free, $80-90m cash, and a commitment to buy back 10% of issued shares in the next 12 months. This would literally double the sp tomorrow. So why not get on with it...? Folks need to keep in mind the £1.25 bid was just 4x trailing EBITDA when we still believed that $100m would be the run rate for 2025. And people were fine with that as a bid. So now we think 10x is achievable for $18m of our EBITDA? Fantasy from my pov.
But let's say a bid of 7.5x DIS EBITDA, that's still $135m, leaving a company with zero debt, $50m EBITDA, circa $40m in cash, and a commitment to a 10% BB. In 12 months you're looking at a trailing EV:EBITDA of 5 at a sp of £1. Hard to believe we wouldn't immediately re-rate to this level given we tend to sit around an EV:EBITDA ratio between 5 and 6. For a 6 ratio you get a sp of £1.17.
Mgt should put DIS up for sale and ask for bids starting at 7.5x EBITDA. Highest bid wins. Who knows, we may even get up to 10x EBITDA and the sp range would be £1.17-1.34 for the 5-6 EV:EBITDA ratio with a business throwing off $50m in remaining EBITDA and close to $100m in cash.
Simple fix for these useless f@ckwits. Hopefully they can pull this off so I can get out. My trust for this bod and AIM in general is near non-existent. FTSE 100 and US stocks for me if we can get back to £1. AIMHO GLA