RE: Rationale for the drop27 Apr 2022 18:23
Like many others I'm not enjoying this drop in SP and I don't think that the CPR warrant a drop, indeed I think that perhaps a modest rise is in order. So why the drop, I can only guess but it would appear to me that the CPR has been built up as being the mega news that short term holders where looking to for a quick buck with expectation of figures way north of those in the CPR. The CPR is good news but there is a consistency in it, and in CG's interview, that goes back to the test drill and core sample days in that its all about the mix. This will only become clear when drilling starts, and CH states if the mix is right (more oily, less gassy) we're talking many multiple of the CPR figures. Previous drills in the same area are quoted by CH as being more oily, so 16-2 is a bit of an anomaly by comparison, this was clear at the test drill stage. So LTHs will need the patience that is a characteristic of such people. I'm confident in CHs leadership, he's genuine and I think is not overplaying his hand at this stage. The primary reason for the CPR delay I feel is gaining certainty of a baseline and being sure to not over play the resource given the mix uncertainty.