RE: Do nothing or accept1 Dec 2021 06:10
Ethotheipi, think If and that’s a big if it doesn’t get through Mexican anti trust it depends why.
If it doesn’t all those touting kdnc will be concerned and time it’s taken is not positive for kdnc.
I don’t agree with your assessment on one, the vote is above 56% the shares are in escrow. So for that to change means m@g have changed which is a positive!
If doesn’t get through Mexico anti trust reason why does matter.
I still believe Gf want this project online and up and running, and will become a focus. Therefore if it pulled back because didn’t get done that would be well supported in my view (I’m a buyer at 45p for sure!).
On point 2 you can’t just claim a crash every-time!! Numbers matter, 72.2% could revert to a scheme, 70-74% think brings more people to accepting and they get through to private….60-65% which is where “feels” heading as they would have picked up Acceptances during stock weakness.
Then it comes down to Gf, do they really want all the reporting, restriction, U.K. admin of aim and costs that go with it? I’m not convinced.
For the share to go crashing needs someone to short or sell aggressive, 65% liquidity is gone (well 65-gf 29 and mg 14), dangerous short to play…not much free float and some pretty hardcore long term holders here with Dee think big representing 10% ish of that.
I still think Gf and bcn have levers to pull to get this through, if they just ponied up would make it a lot easier for them.
Point 3 re private, they still have reporting requirements, still U.K. based, still have shares but harder to value. I still think Gf don’t want you along for the ride so paying an extra bit to those sat private it’s negligible for them imo.