Wonderful Opportunity20 Aug 2018 11:45
For your information - Synopec have the wonderous claim to fame of being the second fastest drillers in the world. In effect, if they run to best work time, this should put us ahead of schedule. In my estimation we could be at TD (70 million barrel play) in about a week. Jarv55 is right, the Drill Stem Test would have been set up at a very early stage but would not have been fully installed until drilling was complete. It will take about another 4/5 days to evaluate the pressure, porosity and water content. These are the three main factors defining whether the well is comercially successful of not. If the results are favourable, we may get an RNS to that effect. DST is normally used as a multitudinal series of tests evaluating the strata penetrated and all aspects of commercial positivety or not, in quick time and establish a clear unambiguous result. So they should know quite soon after reaching TD.
IMO SL was chosen for it's stratigraphic attributes in very much the same way as WH, and to me there is really not much diference between the two with both defined by 2D and 3D seizmic. The only real difference is WH has a larger potential pay zone and is in a proven petrolem system and SL is not. Admittedly significant yes, but the core product is the seismic interpretation and the chance of success IMO is very much the same. Having said that, the market will look at WH as the prime target regardless, and will value this in a completely different way. In addition, WH and Gazelle prospect will in effect run alongside each other at some point with the fourth in block xx completing before the end of November. The last three wells for this year will all be drilled and completed between September and November, a busy three months. So, regardless of SL result, IMO we will be looking at least double the present price before the WH spud. Of course as each well comes on line, the odds for each individual well success increases, culminating with a last and final well for the year at 75%. I don't see the point of mentioning too much about Fox and Red Dear because I fully expect miltiple successes long before they spud. But will say, what a fantastic back up if all else fails.