RE: Still 2% down18 Mar 2022 03:17
If cine lose the appeal, I think the company would become insolvent (i.e. cannot carry on trading). To keep the company going, the bondholders would have to accept a serious haircut, put some more money in and pay cineplex. There would be a debt for equity swap and shareholders would get nothing at the end of day. Cineplex would probably agree to a haircut as well and be paid off over time.
alternatively the bondholders accept the insolvency and just Divi up the assets between them after insolvency. Cineplex would probably get nothing. Bondholders may get 30p in the pound back (just a guess). Shareholders get nothing.
These are all risky strategies. Unless cine are 100% certain of winning the appeal I would think a settlement would occur. Say $400m paid over 4-5 years. Cine can then stagger on with increasing debt and interest.