Excessive Optimism and Half Truths30 Sep 2025 11:53
I had a look at the pronouncements of the last 3 years and the excessive optimism is clear to see. Yes, there is always the clause at the end about principal risks and uncertainties. but I, like most I suspect, have previously focused on the main statements.
Final results Nov 22
"We have commenced the process for FDA approval of AIHL" Three years later and the company has yet to commence the formal submission.
Interims Mar 2023
"New commercial distribution agreements for AIHL in place covering Spain, France, Austria, Greece, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Turkey." But where are the significant sales?
"We are confident in gaining commercial traction and securing significant revenues". Two years later annual income of only £1million.
"This recommendation is expected to act as a catalyst for wider NHS adoption and, further, with NICE's reputation it is expected that the endorsement will also be beneficial to the assays commercial prospects as we seek to penetrate international territories". Still waiting for significant sales abroad.
"The Company is in ongoing dialogue still with the FDA to ascertain the requirements, and consequently the funding estimate that would be required to conduct and manage the evidence generation and submission process". Still waiting for the submission.
"We are optimistic about our ability to succeed in the future, by creating value for our shareholders and by improving people's lives". Up to now it has been destruction of shareholder value!
Finals Nov 23
"We continue to make progress for FDA approval of our MT-RNR1 product". Very slow progress!
Interims Mar 24
"It has been encouraging to see how we have been able to generate Genedrive® MT-RNR1 kit sales both inside and outside the UK in such a short space of time." But very limited abroad.
"I have also been keen to ensure we have the right strategy for our business overall, leading to tighter controls over costs." Why no previous director pay cuts then?
"We continue to pursue all avenues to ensure we achieve specialist commissioning before the current timescale of April 2025" 5 months beyond that date and still waiting.
"Our equity funding plans are being advanced and the intention will be to raise sufficient funding to complete the clinical trials and regulatory approval process in the USA for the AIHL test whilst also providing sufficient funding to cover the Company's operating costs for an appropriate period of time." Since then we have had three fund raises and likely to have another.
Finals Nov 24
"We have a pipeline of opportunities that, if converted, would see a significant step up in revenues during calendar year 2025 and a reduction in the level of cash burn." Still only £1million coming in.
IMC Dec 2024
National commissioning for AIHL test by April? "We remain confident of that." Still waiting.