RE: Importance of US Visit to Malawi - totally overlooked16 Dec 2025 16:53
Agree SG, I follow a few US RE commentators and there has been a dose of realism over there after all the euphoria of September/October. There was an expectation that government intervention would solve everything and that everyone was going to get an MP style price floor, but this hasn't been forthcoming and Lynas' comments on the economics of their Texas HREE separation plant have added to the realism.
From my perspective this is actually positive for Hypromag USA, as the lowest cost ex-China producer. We have high profit margins at current pricing and other projects having issues getting to production will just increase the demand and price for our products. As the lowest cost producer we would still do well in a world of price floors and large subsidies, but we don't need them and the competition do. As for Songwe and Pulawy, they look pretty much nailed on for US and EU funding/financing so I don't think we will need a price floor to get them financed, though one would be nice to lock in profit margins.
As you and Myles have pointed out, we have held up much better than our US counterparts in recent times, which has a lot to do with the actual progress the company is making without which we would be much lower. USAR is currently trading at $15, having been as high as $44 in mid-October. MP is currently trading at $52, having been over $100 in mid-October. One could almost think of our current 51p SP as equivalent to an October RE mania SP of 90-100p. Will and Alex can't control the wider market or Trump's whims on US/China trade deals, but they can just quietly get on with delivering for shareholders, and I have every confidence that they will continue to do so.